I give it every yeehaw I have!
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What’s up guys! Welcome back to the Stocks With Mike & Tom Show! In this episode, we go over how the stock market might be crashing. The stock market was all over the place again today, but ended up falling a lot! Pre-market trading was looking good but ever since the market opened we saw stocks crash. The big tech stocks like AAPL, MSFT, TSLA, NVDA, AMD, and more were all red by quite a bit. MSFT was down 4%, with Tesla down over 5% to show the severity of this situation. These stocks really move the market. On top of that, we have bank earnings tomorrow. Before the market opens, JP Morgan, Citi Group, and Wells Fargo are all reporting earnings. With inflation data coming out this week, and everything going on with the feds, who knows how banks are going to react. Some have been saying they might do well with earnings but we will have to see. To stay up to date with the best market information hit that subscribe button. We have been making the video quality better, along with a lot more great updates in the works! If you like the changes consider helping us out by subscribing!
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IS A STOCK MARKET CRASH HAPPENING IN 2022? HOW HIGH WILL THE S&P 500 GO IN 2022? If you need to know the best stocks to buy now, you will need to know if there will be a stock market crash in 2021. I believe we are going to see some form of market correction or pull-back in the next few months.
I review the S&P 500 and we go through all the earnings from Q2 and see where we will see some of the numbers for the future. I am excited about the future of the market for the next two quarters, but we have to prepare for the 2022 year as well.
I wanted to review this year’s numbers and see where we are going to go from here on out. I am excited to see some good upward possibilities, but it will be interesting to see how the market finishes the year. I do not see a major stock market correction happening anytime soon, but possibly in 2022.
So the stock market crash I keep hearing about has not happened and nor do I feel that it will be happening anytime in 2021. I could see a small correction occur in the next two months. I don’t see the stock market crashing anytime soon. I am seeing more and more people talking about the stock market crashing very soon, but yet here we are with the stock market hitting new highs almost daily.
The fourth stimulus checks & bidens infrastructure bill along with delta cases hitting low number could be the catalyst we need to should push the stock market higher as we move forward into the end of 2021. This is a rare occasion in the stock market to see a chance to buy some stocks that could benefit from all these catalyst. The best stocks to buy now are going to be ones that will benefit the best with low delta cases & increased spending for infrastructure bill.
How to prepare for a stock market crash and how to invest the right way to help your portfolio survive one. I can see volatility in the stock market, but we will have many green days ahead of us. I can see fantastic gains coming through Q3, but we need to be patient and set up for it. Is the stock market crashing or is it just a temporary blip? I feel as though the stock market is retesting lows, but will once again head higher overall.
Is a stock market crash coming soon or are we good to go? When will the stock market crash is the million dollar question. I see big things coming soon. How to make money in a stock market crash is what you need to know. You can short the market on days of red and stock market crashes.
Can we see a stock market correction in 2021? This is a very strong bull market, and I’m starting to hear people thinking we will never see a stock market correction again. As greed continues to rise, we could be closer to a stock market correction than some think. I am giving very critical price targets that could be strong resistance as well as a very interesting resistance trend line to watch for. Check out this video to see just how close we could be to a stock market correction in 2021!
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Worried about making a loss in your business? In this video Dan discusses this topic.
Topics include:
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Is it ok to make a business loss
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Trading insolvently
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Hello guys! Welcome back to my channel, my name is Isabella.
These past weeks have been odd because of the virus stirring up the markets but you can still make money trading with a solid strategy. In my case I had to add the Stochastic in order to have another layer of safety and confirmation in my trades.
While this week was closed at a loss, next week will very likely be better.
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Ray Dalio Just Gave a WARNING for All Investors. Here’s Why He Thinks “Cash is Trash”
Ray Dalio recently had an interview on CNBC where the headline was “cash is trash”. In this video, we explore why Dalio dislikes cash and what investors can do to protect themselves from the risks he sees in the markets. Subscribe here for more content: http://bit.ly/SubscribeMichaelJay
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VIDEOS REFERENCED
Buffett on Gold: https://youtu.be/XHdHgygLZ-A
Recently Ray Dalio had an interview on CNBC where the headline was “cash is trash”. However, that is just an excerpt of an even more important message Dalio was trying to get across to investors. He explained the importance of portfolio diversification in the context of where we are in our fiat monetary system, and expressed his concerns of the impact of continued money printing, especially on the bond markets.
Part of the reason that Dalio believes “cash is trash” is because he sees that governments around the world continue to run up budget deficits while central banks continue easy monetary policy (i.e. low/negative interest rates and printing money) to help fund those deficits. As more dollars are printed, the prices of other assets rise simply because the value of the currency is being diluted by central bank policies. We are seeing this manifest today with near record high valuations on stocks and record low interest rates on bonds.
Unfortunately, Dalio sees central banks as less prepared today than in the past for a potential economic recession or market crash. This is because with rates already so low, there is little room to cut rates in the event of an economic slowdown. Thus, during the next recession, we are more likely to see aggressive monetary easing in the form of more quantitative easing (money printing). With these conditions in place, Ray Dalio warns investors not to be overly allocated to cash in the long term and to consider an valuable diversifying asset: Gold.
While Buffett has famously derided gold for being a shiny, non-productive piece of metal. However, Dalio has a different perspective, one that is closely related to gold’s history in monetary systems. In Dalio’s view, gold is effectively a currency without counterparty risk to any individual government. This makes gold a good hedge or insurance for an investment portfolio, in the event of a central bank misstep that erodes the value of a fiat currency. Another valuable property of gold is as a diversifier due to its low correlation with traditional financial assets like stocks and bonds.
Ray Dalio’s “holy grail” of investing is explained in terms of the number of assets in a portfolio and their correlation to each other. For example, if all your assets are 60% correlated in price, you don’t reduce your risk by continuing to add assets to the portfolio in hopes of “diversifying” more. The key to a truly diversified portfolio that reduces the overall risk, is to accumulate low or zero correlated assets together in a single portfolio. This significantly improves the risk adjusted returns by lowering the overall portfolio volatility. Given gold’s low correlation to other assets and its role as insurance against excess money printing, it isn’t surprising Dalio recommends gold in an investment portfolio.
Ray Dalio always provides some interesting and valuable commentary, often with insights from his vast experience with global markets. Now while he will admit he has been wrong from time to time, I think he would agree that expanding your perspectives and knowledge will help make you a better investor.
DISCLAIMER: This video is a resource for educational and general informational purposes and does not constitute actual financial advice. No one should make any investment decision without first consulting his or her own financial advisor and/or conducting his or her own research and due diligence. There is no guarantee or other promise as to any results that may be obtained from using this content. Investing of any kind involves risk and your investments may lose value.
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Why is Zillow buying houses? A video on TikTok received millions of views talking about Zillow allegedly manipulating the real estate market. (https://www.tiktok.com/@seangotcher). Let’s figure out if this is the case.
WHAT IS ZILLOW?
Zillow is an online broker that millions of people use to look at homes across the country.
WHAT IS THE ALLEGATION AGAINST ZILLOW?
The theory is that Zillow will buy up homes in a concentrated area (example: 30 homes at $300k a piece within a few miles of each other), and the 31st home they buy they pay a premium ($340k). Since they have all the data, and access to cash, they don’t need to run comps (or comparables). This alleges that since they overpaid for the 31st home, it increases the value of the other 30 holdings they previously purchased. This makes housing more unaffordable for the average person.
HOW DOES ZILLOW ACTUALLY MAKE MONEY?
They make money in 3 main ways: IMT, Mortgages, and Homes.
1. Internet, Media and Technology (IMT). It makes money by charging property management companies to list their homes on Zillow. They made about 1.45 billion dollars from IMT in 2020.
2. Mortgages. They bought a company called Mortgage Lenders of America and they became a fully licensed lender. Through Zillow, you can get a loan on a house or refinance your current mortgage. They made $174 million dollars in 2020 through this segment.
3. Homes. In 2018 they launched a service called Zillow Offers where sellers could sell their homes almost instantly. The way it works is Zillow will use its massive data and everything it knows about the real estate market in an area to make an accurate estimation on your home (Zestimate) and based on that it will give sellers a cash offer – almost instantly. They made roughly 1.7 billion dollars in 2020 from the Homes segment.
ARE THEY ACTUALLY OVER PAYING?
Yes. In some cases they are but it’s not for the reasons laid out in the original TikTok video. Instead, Zillow will use its algorithm to make a guess on the value of a home and buy it. Sometimes the algorithm overestimates how much a home is worth and makes an offer above asking. This is because Zillow expects to sell the house for a profit but in the case of the Las Vegas real estate market (as shown in the video), sometimes they have to resell for less than their original purchase price which means they are losing money.
IS ZILLOW ACTUALLY MANIPULATING THE PRICE THEN?
One comp doesn’t reset the other 30, that’s not how it works. Home values aren’t based off of the last sale price. Instead it’s compared using an average in the area over a long period of time. Also, iBrokers like Zillow represent only a small % of the real estate market (less than 1%) they would need exponentially more billions of dollars to make a dent on the market on a national level.
Furthermore, Zillow would have to buy up dozens and dozens of homes within a few mile radius which is clearly not the case (as shown in the video).
WHAT IS ZILLOW DOING?
They’re trying to do to real estate what Amazon did to retail. It’s all about volume and Zillow is subsidizing that growth (sometimes at a loss) by offering sellers more money.
WHY IS REAL ESTATE BECOMING SO EXPENSIVE THEN?
In January 2015, the average hourly rate was about $25. That same year the average home in the US cost 191k. Fast forward to this year and the average hourly rate has grown to $31; meanwhile, the average home has grown to $307,000.
Real estate has grown 60%, and wages have grown 24%. Real estate is outpacing our annual wage growth and supply is not keeping up with demand.
*None of this is meant to be construed as investment advice, it’s for entertainment purposes only. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I’m part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites. The video is accurate as of the posting date but may not be accurate in the future.
MacroVoices Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Cullen Roche to the show to discuss the debt ceiling debate, why a platinum coin supposedly solves perpetual motion and buys a free lunch for deficit spending, where inflation is headed, and much more.
00:00 Intro
00:38 Market Wrap
11:30 Feature Interview with Cullen Roche
57:15 Postgame – Breakout!
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Mr. Roche is the Founder of Discipline Funds. Discipline Funds is a financial advisory firm with a focus on helping people be more disciplined with their finances. He is also the author of Pragmatic Capitalism: What Every Investor Needs to Understand About Money and Finance, Understanding the Modern Monetary System and Understanding Modern Portfolio Construction.
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